Summary
Climate change is proving to be a more severe threat to global agriculture than initially predicted. The recent El Niño event (June 2023 - April 2024) has given way to an ENSO-neutral period, but extreme weather events continue to disrupt agricultural production worldwide.
Recent Climate-Related Agricultural Disruptions
1. Southeast Asia
- Typhoon Yagi: Caused significant damage across the Philippines, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, and Myanmar.
- Vietnam: 262,000 hectares of paddy and fruit trees damaged, particularly in the Red River Delta.
- Myanmar: Over 260,000 hectares of paddy farms affected.
- Thailand: 119,488 hectares of main paddy crop impacted by flash floods since mid-July.
2. China
- Frost threatens corn and soybean crops in the northeastern grain belt.
- Heatwaves and high temperatures put cotton and paddy productivity at risk.
- New typhoon heading towards Northeast China.
3. India
- Excess rains and flooding in key kharif crop-producing states
- Potential damage to paddy, pulses, sugarcane, and nutri-cereals across nearly half a million hectares.
4. Europe
- Flash floods affecting multiple countries, including Austria, Romania, Poland, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, and Moldova.
- Grain production lowered by 5% to 296 million tonnes.
- France expecting its worst soft wheat production in 40 years, down 25% from last year.
5. Africa
- Nigeria: Over 100,000 hectares of farmlands washed away by floods.
- Potential loss of over 50% yield in various crops.
6. Other Regions
- Dry weather in parts of central Brazil, Argentina, eastern Ukraine, and western Russia potentially delaying soybean, corn, and winter wheat sowing.
Implications for Buyers and Importers
- Anticipated supply shortages across various agricultural commodities.
- Need for a "China-plus-one" approach to diversify supply chains.
- Importance of expanding sourcing networks to ensure consistent supply and competitive pricing.
Hectar Global's Role
In this challenging climate, Hectar Global plays a crucial role in:
- Expanding buyers' reach to new supply sources.
- Ensuring access to required supplies at competitive prices.
- Facilitating diversification of supply chains to mitigate climate-related risks.
By leveraging Hectar Global's expertise and network, businesses can better navigate the increasingly complex and volatile global agricultural market shaped by climate change.